Wednesday, December 31, 2014

2014 "End of Year" Report | The Saker


TUESDAY, DECEMBER 30, 2014

2014 "End of Year" report and a look into what 2015 might bring


Introduction:

By any measure 2014 has been a truly historic year which saw huge, I would say, even tectonic developments. This year ends in very high instability, and the future looks hard to guess. I don't think that anybody can confidently predict what might happen next year. So what I propose to do today is something far more modest. I want to look into some of the key events of 2014 and think of them as vectors with a specific direction and magnitude. I want to look in which direction a number of key actors (countries) "moved" this year and with what degree of intensity. Then I want to see whether it is likely that they will change course or determination. Then adding up all the "vectors" of these key actors (countries) I want to make a calculation and see what resulting vector we will obtain for the next year. Considering the large number of "unknown unknowns" (to quote Rumsfeld) this exercise will not result in any kind of real prediction, but my hope is that it will prove a useful analytical reference.

The main event and the main actors

A comprehensive analysis of 2014 should include most major countries on the planet, but this would be too complicated and, ultimately, useless. I think that it is indisputable that the main event of 2014 has been the war in the Ukraine. This crisis not only overshadowed the still ongoing Anglo-Zionist attack on Syria, but it pitted the world's only two nuclear superpowers (Russia and the USA) directly against each other. And while some faraway countries did have a minor impact on the Ukrainian crisis, especially the BRICS, I don't think that a detailed discussion of South African or Brazilian politics would contribute much. There is a short list of key actors whose role warrants a full analysis. They are:
  1. The USA
  2. The Ukrainian Junta
  3. The Novorussians (DNR+LNR)
  4. Russia
  5. The EU
  6. NATO
  7. China 

I submit that these seven actors account for 99.99% of the events in the Ukraine and that an analysis of the stance of each one of them is crucial. So let's take them one by one:

1 - The USA

Of all the actors in this crisis, the USA is by far the most consistent and coherent one. Zbigniew Brzezinski, Hillary Clinton and Victoria Nuland were very clear about US objectives in the Ukraine:

Zbigniew Brzezinski: Without Ukraine Russia ceases to be empire, while with Ukraine - bought off first and subdued afterwards, it automatically turns into empire…(...) the new world order under the hegemony of the United States is created against Russia and on the fragments of Russia. Ukraine is the Western outpost to prevent the recreation of the Soviet Union.

Hillary Clinton: There is a move to re-Sovietise the region (...) It’s not going to be called that. It’s going to be called a customs union, it will be called Eurasian Union and all of that, (...) But let's make no mistake about it. We know what the goal is and we are trying to figure out effective ways to slow down or prevent it.

Victoria Nuland: F**k the EU!Between the three, these senior US "deep-staters" have clearly and unambiguously defined the primary goal of the USA: to take control of the Ukraine to prevent Russia from becoming a new Soviet Union, regardless of what the EU might have to say about that. Of course, there were other secondary goals which I listed in June of this year (see here):

As a reminder, what were the US goals in the Ukraine: (in no particular order)
  • Sever the ties between Russia and the Ukraine
  • Put a russophobic NATO puppet regime in power in Kiev
  • Boot the Russians out of Crimea
  • Turn Crimea into a unsinkable US/NATO aircraft carrier
  • Create a Cold War v2 in Europe
  • Further devastate the EU economies
  • Secure the EU's status as "US protectorate/colony"
  • Castrate once and for all EU foreign policies
  • Politically isolate Russia
  • Maintain the worldwide dominance of the US dollar
  • Justify huge military/security budgetsI have color-coded objectives these objectives into the following categories:
  • Achieved - black 
  • Still possible - too early to call - blue
  • Compromised - pink
  • Failed - red
  • Current "score card": 1 "achieved", 5 "possible, 2 "compromised" and 3 "failed".Here is how I would re-score the same goals at the end of the year:

  • Sever the ties between Russia and the Ukraine
  • Put a russophobic NATO puppet regime in power in Kiev
  • Boot the Russians out of Crimea
  • Turn Crimea into a unsinkable US/NATO aircraft carrier
  • Create a Cold War v2 in Europe
  • Further devastate the EU economies
  • Secure the EU's status as "US protectorate/colony"
  • Castrate once and for all EU foreign policies
  • Politically isolate Russia
  • Maintain the worldwide dominance of the US dollar
  • Justify huge military/security budgetsNew score card: 6 "achieved", 1 "possible", 1 "compromised" and 3 "failed"

At first glance, this is a clear success for the USA: from 1 achieved to 6 with the same number of "failed" is very good for such a short period of time. However, a closer look will reveal something crucial: all the successes of the USA were achieved at the expense of the EU and none against Russia. Not only that, but the USA has failed in its main goal: to prevent Russia from becoming a superpower, primarily because the US policy was based on a hugely mistaken assumption: that Russia needed the Ukraine to become a superpower again. This monumental miscalculation also resulted in another very bad fact for the USA: the dollar is still very much threatened, more so than a year ago in fact.

This is so important that I will repeat it again: the AngloZionist Empire predicated its entire Ukrainian strategy on a completely wrong assumption: that Russia "needed" the Ukraine. Russia does not, and she knows that. As we shall see later, a lot of the key events of this year are a direct result of this huge miscalculation.

The US is now facing a paradox: "victory" in the Ukraine, "victory" in Europe, but failure to stop a rapidly rising Russia. Worse, these "victories" came at a very high price which included creating tensions inside the EU, threatening the future of the US shale gas industry, alienating many countries at the UN, being deeply involved with a Nazi regime, becoming the prime suspect in the shooting down of MH17 and paying the costs for an artificially low price of gold. But the single worst consequence of the US foreign policy in the Ukraine has been the establishment of a joint Russian-Chinese strategic alliance clearly directed against the United States (more about that later).

Can the US stay the course next year? That is hard to predict but I would say that in terms of direction the US policy will be more of the same. It is the magnitude (in the sense of will/energy to pursue) of this policy which is dubious. Traditionally, US policies are typically very intensive in the short term, but lack the staying power to see them through in the long term and there is no reason to believe that this case will be different. Furthermore, the US foreign policy establishment is probably simply unable to imagine a different approach: the United States do not really have a real foreign policy, rather they issue orders and directives to their vassal states and threats to all others. Finally, just as some banks are considered "too big to fail" the US policy towards the Ukraine is "too crazy to correct" thus any change of course would result in a major loss of face for an Empire which really cannot afford one more humiliating defeat right now. Still, when the political and financial costs of this policy become prohibitive, the US might have to consider the option to "declare victory and leave" (a time-honored US practice) and let the EU deal with the mess. There is also the very real risk of war with Russia which might give some US decision-makers pause. This is possible, but I am afraid that the US will try to play it's last card and trigger a full-scale war between the Ukraine and Russia.

Why would the US want to do that? Imagine this:
A full scale war between Russia and the Ukraine

The Ukrainians are told to attack Novorussia again. This time, they are more numerous, better equipped and their attack is fully supported, if not executed, by American "advisers" and retired US Army officers. Imagine further that the Ukrainians are given full intelligence support by US/NATO and that their progress is monitored 24/7 by US/NATO commanders who will help them in the conduct of the attack. Finally, let us assume that the Novorussians are overwhelmed by the sheer magnitude and speed of the attack and that Lugansk and Donetsk are rapidly surrounded. At this point the Russians will face a stark choice: either to abandon Novorussia to the Nazis or intervene. The first option would be catastrophic for Putin politically, and it would "solve" nothing: the Ukrainian junta, the US, EU, NATO have all clearly and repeatedly stated that they will never accept the reincorporation of Crimea into Russia. Furthermore, if the Russians let the Nazis overrun Novorussia, the next logical step for the Ukrainians will be to move south and repeat the very same operation in Crimea at which point Russia will not even have a choice and she will be forced to engage the Ukrainians to defend Crimea. Thus, if the Russians realize that the Ukrainians will push on no matter what, then Russia would be far better of engaging the Ukrainians over Novorussia then over Crimea.

If the Russians make the call that they have to openly intervene to save the Donbass from the Nazis, the Ukrainians don't stand a chance and everybody knows that. The Russians would very rapidly defeat the Ukrainian forces. Such a Russian move would be greeted by a massive media campaign denouncing the Russian "invasion" and Kiev would probably declare the Ukraine at war in which case the combat operations would probably spill over into other parts of the Ukraine or even Russia (the Ukrainians could, for example, try to strike Russians airports around Rostov or in Crimea). Whatever the Ukrainians decide, it is certain that they would have nothing to lose by escalating the situation further. In military terms, Russia can easily handle whatever the Ukrainians can try to throw at them. However I would not expect the Russians push to Kiev or the Dniper River, even if they could. They are most likely to do what they did to Saakashvili in 2008: protect the attacked region and only go as far as needed to disarm their enemy (in 2008 Russia could *easily* have occupied all of tiny Georgia, but she ended up withdrawing behind Ossetian and Abkhaz lines).

Such a Russian victory would be a crushing military defeat for Kiev, but not for the USA. The Americans would have their 'proof' of Russian imperial "aggression" and declare that the EU needs "protection" from the "Russian bear". The US would finally have the Cold War v2 it wants so badly, the EU politicians would play along, just to terrify their own population, and a "wonderful" arms race and a situation of extreme tension would pit all of Europe against Russia for a long, long time. Even for the junta in Kiev a military defeat might be a wonderful opportunity to blame it all on Russia and a way to get the population to rally against the "aggressor". Such a war between Russia and the Ukraine could also justify the introduction of martial law and a massive and vicious crackdown against "Russian agents" (i.e. any opposition) who would be designated as "saboteurs" and responsible for the inevitable Ukrainian defeat.

In the Ukraine and in Russia there is this black-humor joke which says that "the USA will fight Russia down to the last Ukrainian" and this is exactly what might happen as this option offers a lot of major advantages for the USA. For one thing, it is a win-win proposition: either the Ukrainians re-take Novorussia and then the very same plan can be repeated in Crimea, or they are defeated by Russia, in which case the resulting crisis offers huge benefits for US imperial ambitions.

Now let's look at the options for the Ukrainian junta.

2 - The Ukrainian Junta

For the Nazi regime currently in power things are not going well and unless something changes they are headed for disaster: Crimea is gone, the Donbass is slowly but surely building up its instruments of statehood, the economy is basically dead and the "holes in the dam" harder and harder to plug. An explosion of popular unrest is inevitable. Worse, there are exactly *zero* future prospects for the Ukrainian economy and an official default is quasi inevitable. So what can the junta do?

Here it is crucial to remember that no Ukrainian politician has any real power, not even Poroshenko, Iatseniuk or Turchinov. The real rulers of the Ukraine are the US ambassador and the Kiev CIA station chief. These are the people who literally administer the Nazi junta on behalf of the US deep state and its imperial interests. As for the Ukrainian members of the junta, they all perfectly understand that their future is 100% dependent on being a faithful servant of the AngloZionist Empire. They all understand that they came to power by means of an completely illegal coup, that the elections they organized this year were a total farce and that they will soon have to use repressive measures against their own population just to stay in power. Last but not least, these are the folks who not only used chemical munitions, cluster bombs and even ballistic missiles against their own people, but who also send their own armed forces to be slaughtered in useless and criminally irresponsible "surprises" ordered by Poroshenko (the attempt to encircle Novorussia and to cut it off from the Russian border). We are talking about hardened war criminals here, people with no conscience whatsoever, sociopaths with a total lack of any moral compass. These are the folks who spoke a "barbecue of insects" in Odessa when 100+ people were tortured to death or burned alive and who giggled about shooting down the wrong place about MH-17 (Kolomoisky video). In fact, they are currently engaged in a racist hate-campaign.

Check out these posters which were recently shown in Kiev as part of a competition of patriotic posters. If a picture is worth one thousand words, just glancing at these few will tell you all you need to know about the wordview of the Nazi junta: (note: I translated the meaning of the slogans)




Russians don't get to speak




All together we will stop Russian terrorism




God's speaks through the people's voice




Fuck off Eurasian bastard!




May each slave wake up in a coffin




Getting a Russian passport makes you a Eurasian faggot




Don't pass by - kill!

I have to explain the last one: what you see is a "Colorado beetle" (Leptinotarsa decemlineata) which has colors similar to the ones seen on the Russian Saint George Ribbon. In other words, this poster says that if you pass by a Russian you should kill him. Notice the other themes: the Maidan was God's voice, the Russians are "Eurasians" who are beasts who should have no right, not even the right to speak or live. This is exactly the same propaganda style as used by Hitler against Jews and we all know how this ended (yet again another proof that to refer to the junta as "Nazi" is perfectly justified).

But there is much more then just words to pay attention to.

The Ukrainian budget has finally been adopted by the Rada. It can be summarized as such: less services, more taxes and everything for the military and security services (3% of the GDP for the former, 2% for the latter). For a country which is essentially bankrupt this is a huge effort. Not only that, but the junta has also announced that it will execute another mobilization next year (the 4th one in less than one year!!). Now ask yourself a basic question: could such a truly titanic effort have been made without some very real expectations of a "return on investment"? When you see a regime stirring up racial hatred against part of its own population and against a neighboring country while putting all of its tiny and much needed resources towards preparations for war - is that not a surefire sign that a war in imminent?

As a former military analyst myself I can tell you that by now the Russian intelligence community's "indicators and warnings" should be "flashing red" and that in all likelihood Russia is already preparing for war (more about Russia later). But before we look at the Russian position, we need to look into the situation of Novorussia.

3 - The Novorussians (DNR+LNR)

The Novorussians are finishing the year in which they have achieved an absolutely amazing feat: from literally being *nothing* they spontaneously got together to stand up against the Nazi junta and they prevailed even with the entire Ukrainian military was launched at them. It is hard to believe that just 12 months ago the Donbass only meekly requested some language rights and some local autonomy or that earlier this year very almost nobody predicted that the Donbass would rise up and defeat the junta's death squads. And yet this miracle happened. How much did Russia really help? I would argue that not that much at all.

Initially, the Russian move to protect Crimea and the subsequent resolution of the Council of the Federation to allow Putin to use military power to protect the Russian minority in the Ukraine definitely played a key role in the first seizure of state buildings in Slaviansk and other town. Furthermore, Strelkov apparently believed that if he held on long enough the Russian armed forces would come and relieve the exhausted Novorussian militias. It never happened.

There is no doubt whatsoever that this apparent Russian "zag" left a lot of bad feelings in Novorussia and the theory that the Kremlin is about to "sell out" Novorussia is still discussed not only in the Russian blogosphere, but even on Russian TV (including yesterday on the most famous weekly talk show "Sunday evening with Vladimir Soloviev). Here is how this version goes: Putin is inherently weak and tries in vain to appease the West while Russian oligarchs are making a behind the scenes deal with their Ukrainian counterparts. Truth be told, this version is plausible, even if incorrect. The Kremlin's policy towards the West sure does look like appeasement while Russian and Ukrainian oligarchs have tried to arrange deals whether with or without the knowledge of the Russian government.

Any model is valid as long as it helps to explain the observed reality and this "Kremlin sells out Novorussia" does explain a lot. But it fails in many crucial aspects:

It fails to explain why following Strelkov's removal the Novorussians went on their highly successful offensive which pushed the Ukrainians as far as Mariupol.
It fails to explain the Russian Voentorg.
It fails to explain why the Russian government has done nothing to stop the volunteers and supplies coming from Russia.
It fails to explain why Russia would provide full informational support for a region and it's leaders if she intended to trade it away.But most importantly this theory is completely out-of-character if we look not only at what Putin says and writes, but at his entire political career. Simply put, there is nobody on this planet which has done more to oppose the AngloZionist Empire than Vladimir Putin. I think that the hysterical and vicious demonization campaign against him in the western media is the best proof of that. I shall give my own explanation for the Russian zig-zags towards the West and the Ukrainian war in the next section, but so far let's just state that it created a lot of bad blood and anxiety amongst the Novorussians, including several of their field commanders.

For a while we witness the short lived but strong development of a "let's not stop before we win" party. These are the folks who advocated at the very least liberating Slaviansk and Mariupol and who were absolutely disgusted when Russia clearly ordered the Novorussians to stop and pull back. This party of what I could also call "let the strength of arms decide" has clearly lost as one after the other the top Novorussian commanders accepted, however bitterly, the Kremlin's demands. Some gave their strong and total support to Putin (Givi, Motorola, Bezler) while others gave a more reluctant acceptance of the fait accompli (Mozgovoi, Strelkov).

I won't even bother discussing the "shoulda, coulda, woulda" about whether the Novorussians could have freed Mariupol, Slaviansk or other cities. What is important here is something else: Novorussia and Russia have different priorities, different goals, different interests and if the two sides disagree, the bigger one - Russia - imposes her will. In other words, the Novorussians simply cannot fight the Nazi death squads and try to politically prevail against Putin in the court of Russian public opinion. They tried, and they failed.

So what's next?

The sad reality for the Novorussians is that they are stuck in the middle of a much bigger war and that what they see as "their" war is but a minor skirmish for the big players. Yes, the future of Novorussia is crucial to Russia, but it is not enough. Russia simply cannot live with a situation where a Ukrainian-Nazi equivalent of ISIS in Iraq remains in power in Kiev, regardless of who is in power in Novorussia (I would argue that neither can Novorussia, but that is an argument I made elsewhere already). Clearly the Kremlin analysts made the call that while Novorussia should be protected from the Ukrainian Nazis it should not be allowed to fight an open-ended war to free all of Novorussia or, even less so, the entire Ukraine (I happen to agree with this conclusion, but that is immaterial for this discussion).

For a while I was under the impression that Strelkov might become a "spokesman for Novorussia" in Russia, but that clearly did not happen (for whatever reason). In fact, right now there is no such ambassador or spokesman for Novorussia in Russia, nobody to make the Novorussian case in front of the Russian public opinion. I don't think that this is a good thing, but that is the reality.

As a result, the Novorussians are basically stuck. They have to prepare for the almost inevitable Ukrainian assault and pray that they will have the strength to push it back. Should they fail, they will have no other option than to pray for a Russian intervention which, considering the undeniable Russian zigs-zags in this matter, will not appear certain to all. This is a bad situation for the Novorussians, but they have no other options. Putin has successfully imposed his will on the Novorussians and now their future depends on him, for better or for worse.

4 - Russia

So far Russia stands undefeated by the AngloZionist empire, but she is far from having prevailed either. In fact, Russia is waging a much bigger war or, more accurately, a number of much bigger wars.

First, Russia is trying to survive the attempt by the AngloZionist Empire to economically blockade her.
Second, in order to survive that blockade, Russia is trying to reform her economy to make it less dependent on the export of raw materials, more autonomous and connected to new partners, especially in Asia and Latin America.
Third, Russia is trying to de-fang the Empire by pulling herself out from the dollar and the US/UK controlled international financial system.
Fourth, Russia is trying to prevent the USA from permanently installing a russophobic Nazi regime in power.
Fifth, Russia is preparing for both a major war in the Ukraine and a full scale US/NATO attack on Russia.

It is important to stress here that point #5 does not mean that the Kremlin has come to the conclusion that a full-scale war with the Empire is inevitable. That only means that the Kremlin has decided that such a war is possible, even if most unlikely. You think I am exaggerating?

Let me show you two videos. One a commentary by the most senior journalist in Russia - Dimitri Kiselev - while the other one is a video report shown to President Putin at the end of the year by the Ministry of Defense during a conference on the status of the Russian military and later posted on the Ministry of Defenses' website.

First the political context:



And second, the military's preparations for war:



Combine the two and you will clearly see that a) nobody in Russia has any illusions about what the Empire really wants (submit Russia) or about the tools the Empire is willing to use (full scale war). And to leave no doubt in anybody's mind, Russia has also revised her 2010 military doctrine to designate NATO expansion eastwards by name as the bigger threat to Russia and to restate that Russia reserves the right to use nuclear weapons if her conventional forces fail to protect her.

When in Mach of this year I wrote that Russia was ready for war I got a lot of replies accusing me of being over-the-top. Today the writing is all over the wall: Russia does not want war, but she is definitely preparing for it.

I would, however, argue that the biggest threat for Russia is internal, not external. Nothing is more dangerous for the future of Russia then what I call the "Atlantic Integrationists" and which Putin even called the "5th column". And make no mistake here, we are not talking about Khodorkovsy in New York or Navalnii in the streets of Moscow. We are talking about powerful, rich, influential people who for decades (since Gorbachev's times, or even before) have infiltrated all the levels of government and who today are even in the government of Prime Minister Medvedev. True, these pro-AngloZionist 5th columnists have suffered a series of setbacks and they have been weakened by Putin's relentless assault on their power, but what does "weaker" really mean in our context? According to Mikhail Khazin the Eurasian Sovereignists and the Atlantic Integrationists are now roughly at 50/50 in terms of power. That's right, Putin is far from having total control of Russia and he is in fact locked into a war for survival against a formidable foe who will try to capitalize on every setback Russia suffers, especially in her economy. Putin knows that and he is therefore in a race against time to de-couple Russia from the economic and financial mechanisms which make it possible for the AngloZionists to hurt Russia.

How much does this 5th column account for the apparent zig-zags and apparent appeasement of the West by Russia?

I honestly don't know. Neither does anybody else who is not a true Kremlin insider. In some cases, such as the Minsk agreements, I think that this apparent "zag" was an true expression of Russian political goals. But when I see that Russia is selling coal to the Ukraine on credit (?!) I can only conclude that this is a case of sabotage of Russian national interests. But we will never know for sure. All we can do is to accept that Russia is like a ship or aircraft which is generally holding a specific course, but which regularly zig-zags on the way because the folks in the cockpit are fighting for the control of the helm. In practical terms this means that next year Russia will mostly stay the course. Why? Because time is on Russia's side. For Russia every month, week or day which can delay an overt confrontation with the Ukraine or the West is one day won for preparation internal reform. It is also one more day for the junta in Kiev to slide down one further notch, for the EU economies to carry the full impact of anti-Russian sanctions and for the US to suffer the political consequences of their arrogant, irresponsible and generally unpopular imperial policies.

The single most important political development for Russia is the Russian-Chinese Strategic Alliance (RCSA) which fundamentally changes the entire strategic posture of Russia. I will discuss this tectonic shift in world politics further below, but right now I want to the position of the EU.

5 - The EU

2014 was truly a historical year for the EU marked by the wholesale and abject surrender of the EU political leaders to the United States. From the EU guaranteed agreement between the opposition and Yanokovich which was broken the very next day, the Victoria Nuland's famous words which were never challenged, to the introduction of sanctions the day after the signing of the Minsk agreement, to the political and economic seppuku against South Stream, to the shameful silence and even collaboration with the murderers of the passengers of MH17 - the EU has proven to all that it is only a spineless colony of the AngloZionist Empire and that the EU and the Ukraine are equally subservient puppets of the United States. There is no EU to speak of. It is a US controlled territory whose administration is entrusted to Germany to whose power all the EU nations have bowed. And in this system, countries such as Poland or Lithuania have a special role: to lead the EU in subservience to the USA.

From the latest statements of Putin and Lavrov it is pretty clear that they fully share Victoria Nulands opinion of the EU which they now seem consider as some kind of "geopolitical Conchita Wurst" not worthy of any respect or credibility.

Truly, the EU and its Eurobureaucratic elites have passed a point of no return. If in the past they could still pretend like the EU project was making the EU stronger and that in maintained the sovereignty of its member, now this kind of statement will only be met with a disgusted laughter. As a system the EU has committed suicide and nothing can be further expected of it until it collapses. The riots which have taken place in almost every country of western Europe are a clear sign that most Europeans are either fed-up or desperate or both. In a way, we could say that the EU is run by a Soviet-style nomenklaturawhich lives in complete detachment from the rest of the European people in a kind of US-built ivory tower high above the common people. Exactly the kind of situation which results in bloody uprisings and revolutions. I am personally convinced that an explosion of anger could happen anytime, especially in the EU countries bordering the Mediterranean. But unlike the Russians, the Europeans prefer their revolution in the warm weather. So maybe next summer?

6 -NATO

The Russians have now officially declared that the NATO expansion into the east was the biggest threat for Russia. And yet I will make the case that NATO is a paper tiger, at least in military terms and that NATO simply does not have what it takes to attack Russia (for my reasons for stating that, please see here). I recently explained that on the blog, and I think that it is worth repeating this once more today:

One more thing: the Russians are most definitely upset about the very aggressive NATO stance because they - correctly - interpret it as a sign of hostility. But, contrary to what a lot of bloggers say, the Russians have no fear of the military threat posed by NATO. Their reaction to the latest NATO moves (new bases and personnel in Central Europe, more spending, etc.) is to denounce it as provocative, but Russian officials all insist that Russia can handle the military threat. As one Russian deputy said "5 rapid reaction diversionary groups is a problem we can solve with one missile". A simplistic but basically correct formula. Putin said the very same thing when he clearly spelled out that in case of a massive conventional attack by "anybody" Russia would engage tactical nukes. In fact, if NATO goes ahead with its stupid plan to deploy forces in Poland and/or the Baltics I expect Russia with withdraw from theIRNF Treaty and deploy advanced successors to the famous RSD-10 (SS-20). As I mentioned before, the decision to double the size of the Russian Airborne Forces and to upgrade the elite 45th Special Designation Airborne Regiment to full brigade-size has already been taken anyway. You could say that Russia preempted the creation of the 10'000 strong NATO force by bringing her own mobile (airborne) forces from 36'000 to 72'000.This is typical Putin. While NATO announces with fanfare and fireworks that NATO will create a special rapid reaction "spearhead" force of 10'000, Putin quietly doubles the size of the Russian Airborne Forces to 72'000. And, believe me, the battle hardened Russian Airborne Forces are a vastly more capable fighting force then the hedonistic and demotivated multi-national (28 countries) Euroforce of 5'000 NATO is struggling hard to put together. The US commanders fully understand that, and they also know that the real purpose of NATO is not to attack Russia, but to maintain the US control over Europe. As early as in 1949 the first NATO Secretary General, Lord Ismay, candidly admitted that NATO's true goal was "to keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down" (notice that in the typical russophobic way of the western elites, Russians are considered as the source of the threat even though in 1949 a Georgian was at the helm of the Soviet Union and that Russians had paid a much higher price in repressions then the non-Russian ethnic groups).

Little has changed since, except that with the "Soviet threat" gone NATO had to scramble to find a justification for itself and that it now wants to find it in the "need to protect European democracy from the resurgent Russian Bear". In other words, the ideal situation for NATO is a crisis just one notch below a full-scale war. In case of a real, shooting, war against Russia NATO will be crushed, but as long as NATO can *pretend* it is defending Europe against Russia it is justifying its existence. Hence the silly hunts for Russian ghost submarines, the "interception" of Russian aircraft in international airspace and the constant stream of dramatic statements that NATO will never allow Russia to attack Poland or Lithuania (as if Russia wanted to do that in the first place!).

NATO will continue doing exactly that: pretend like Russia was going to attack Moldova next and that NATO must prevent that. The flow of incendiary and even frankly irresponsible statements will continue, NATO official will continue to deliver stark warnings to Russia with all the required gravitas and the Empire's corporate media will report them as if they had a factual connection to reality. Keeping the Russians out, the German down and the Americans in will be an easy mission since the Russians don't want in, the Germans have totally surrendered along the rest of Europe, and the Americans are already fully in charge.

7 - China

It is amazing for me to see that most observers and analysts have apparently failed to realize that China is now a key actor in the Ukrainian war. Anybody doubting this claim should read the Vineyard of the Saker White Paper written by Larchmonter 445 entitled The Russia-China Double Helix. To make a long story short, China and Russia have decided to keep their own "hands" (their armed forces) and their own "heads" (their political leadership) but to share a common "torso" (their economies, natural and human resources, their industrial and technological know-how and everything else which allows a society to prosper). I call this the Russia-China Strategic Alliance (RCSA) but really it is something even bigger then that - it is a long term decision to share a common fate and to take the risk to become inseparable. An alliance, a treaty, can be broken or withdrawn from. But once your "internal organs" are shared with another entity you are bound together, for better or for worse. What has happened is truly a tectonic geopolitical shift: two empires have decided to join together while remaining sovereign and independent. To my knowledge this has never happened in history and Putin and Xi have already changed the course of history by this monumental decision.

The two countries are ideal symbionts: everything one has the other needs and vice versa. China needs Russian raw materials, especially energy, Russian high technology (aerospace, engines, power plants, etc.) and Russian armaments (everything from the rifle bullet to the ICBM). Russia needs two things from China: money and "Walmart" (consumer goods). Together these two giants not only have immense currency resources but the biggest stash of physical gold on the planet. And, to make things even better, Russia and China are the undisputed leaders of BRICS and SCO. Taken together these two countries are already far more powerful than the AngloZionist Empire and that trend will only grow.




A Russian, a Russian Asian and a Chinese solider
Of course, China will not intervene militarily in the Ukraine. Remember - each country keeps its own "hands" so long as the other is not directly threatened. But in the Pacific Russian and Chinese navies are already training together and even creating joint command centers.

In the Ukraine, China still play a crucial role by providing Russia will all the economic aid needed to overcome the western sanctions and restructure the Russian economy. The Chinese have now officially declared that. It is both ironic and beautiful that after decades of Russian fears that China might try to conquer Siberia (even Solzhenitsyn shared these fears) Putin and Xi have found a much more intelligent solution - Russia will sell Siberia's riches to China while China will protect Russia from the West. Again, this is truly a historic development whose importance cannot be overstated.

Adding up all these vectors

So let's add it all up now. In summary:

The USA now has no other option then to press on their assault on Russia because what is at stake is quite literally the future of the AngloZionist Empire and, therefore, the future of our planet. China uniting with Russia is definitely bad news, but it is too late for the USA to back down now or even to change course. The Americans probably realize that they have fired their best shots already and that the Ukrainian junta is in deep trouble and that the collapse of their Nazi "Banderastan" is just a matter of time. In other words, the Empire is now in a "use them or lose them" situation and "fighting Russia down to the last Ukrainian" is now the best option for the US 1%ers.

The Ukrainian Junta members are basically in the same situation as the USA: they must realize that their days are numbered and that their best chance is to do the US bidding and trigger a huge crisis.

The Novorussians are stuck: they have to do whatever the Kremlin wants them to do, hope for the best, prepare for the worst and courageously face anything in the middle.

Russia needs to avoid an open confrontation with the West for as long as possible.

The EU will remain as irrelevant and pathetic as ever.

NATO will play a dangerous game of brinkmanship trying to create as much tensions as possible without triggering an actual conflict.

China will do whatever it takes to protect Russia from the economic war waged against her.

Conclusions

From the above I conclude that unless some major development substantially alters the current dynamic the resulting vector clearly points at the inevitability of a full-scale war between Russia and the Ukraine along the scenario outlined above ("A full scale war between Russia and the Ukraine"). There is no reason whatsoever to expect the US, the Nazi junta, NATO or the EU to begin acting in a responsible or constructive manner. For these reasons, Russia will be alone in trying to avoid an intervention the Donbass and the inevitable war with the Ukraine following it. The best way for Russia to achieve this goal is to arm Novorussia to the teeth, to provide much more humanitarian support then now, to try re-launch as much of the Novorussian economy as possible (preferably by investments and contracts, not just grants) and generally help to make Novorussia as viable as possible under the current conditions. If the Novorussian could repeat their amazing feat once more and repel or, even better, deter the future Ukrainian attack this would be a crushing defeat not only for the junta in Kiev, but also for all its supporters in the AngloZionist Empire. The "equation" is simple: if Novorussia can stand up to the Ukrainians and Russia is not forced to intervene the Nazi regime in Kiev is finished along with the entire Neocon plan against Russia. If Russia is forced to intervene, Novorussia will be saved and the junta finished, but the Neocons plan will have succeeded and Russia will suffer a major geostrategic setback

Russia desperately needs more time and I expect the Russian diplomacy to try every possible delaying tactic imaginable to buy as much time as possible before the inevitable Ukrainian attack on Novorussia. I am even willing to consider that the recent sale (really, a gift) of coal to Kiev might be such a delaying tactic, I don't know. What is clear for me that most of these delaying tactics will look like "appeasement" to the external observer and that, in the end, our perception of these moves will depend on our assumptions and, basically, our take on the person of Vladimir Putin. I might be wrong, but I personally trust him and short of very strong evidence I will never believe that he will "sell out" Novorussia or anybody else in the Ukraine. Not only do I believe that he is way too smart to do such a stupid and self-defeating thing, but I have also come to the conclusion that he is a highly principled person who will never betray the people he took an oath to defend.

My very tentative "guesstimates" for 2015:

2014 has been a historic year and so will be 2015, if only because 2014 set a great deal of things in motion, but resolved none of them. I have come to the conclusion that there is a 80% chance of a massive Ukrainian attack on Novorussia next year, probably in the first part of the year. My best guesstimate is that Novorussia will probably be able to beat back this attack, albeit with great effort and big losses. The Russian economy will continue to suffer and appear to be sinking for the next six months or so at which point it will gradually start reversing that trend. The EU economy will enter into full and deep recession resulting in widespread social unrest. As for the USA, they probably will be able to pretend like nothing big, not big disaster, is happening, if only thanks to the money printing machine and the best propaganda machine in history. What the US will be unable to do is to prevent the gradual but inexorable de-dollarization of more and more of the world economy, lead by China and Russia. The true and final collapse of the AngloZionist Empire is inevitable, but not for the next couple of years.

I wish you all the very best for 2015 and, above all, I wish you peace.

May God protect us all from war!

The Saker

PS: I am now taking a couple of days of rest (I worked 16 hours yesterday to write this report and I am exhausted) and, barring some major event, I will not post anything here until January 2nd. The "donate" button on the left will still work (hint, hint). I will continue to moderate so please feel free to use the comments section below as an "open thread".

PPS: The credit for both videos used in this report should go to:

Transcript & Translation: Mikhael, Dancing Queen, S, Marina, Natasha, DzhMM, Roobit & Eugene
Production: Marina & The French Saker
Crucial assistance: Marina, Francois, Augmented Ether


What fools were the US Govt.? Dumb if you ask me: The Intervi...

What fools were the US Govt. ?

Apologies are in order...

Dumb if you ask me:
https://www.dropbox.com/s/riou7dl1eiuln1t/The.Interview.2014.720p.WEBRip.x264.AAC-WiLDFYRE.mp4?dl=0

Surprise from Putin: "Ace in the Hole" - Changing the Rules

Surprise from Putin: "Ace in the Hole" - Changing the Rules

By: Yuri
December 30, 2014




The whole world is watching with bated breath for the poker party of Putin with Western politicians - traitors from London, Brussels and Berlin, led by Obama. Since the end of the Cold War, America's objective was to weaken all those who threaten its global financial and resource domination, carried out by the petrodollar and the dollar as the world reserve currency. Used for this purpose as the financial and economic as well as, if necessary, military means.

Entering the current trade and economic sanctions against Russia and Iran, Washington should these time-tested way. By itself, the success of such a strategy does not work, as the more than 50-year-old blockade of Cuba. However, it can cause a military response to the enemy, often having no other means to stop the blockade. This allows the United States and other democracies to introduce the cause of their superior military power. This approach worked against the Confederate States of Lincoln, against the Central Powers before the First World War, against the Emperor of Japan before the Second World War, against Iraq, Libya - the list is endless.

Now the US brought down the price of oil with the help of puppet Saudi Arabia to simultaneously economically weaken both Russia and Iran, the two main enemies of world hegemony. Yes, it will destroy the oil shale production in the US and UK oil production in the North Sea. But the loss of oil revenue pales before the importance of maintaining the authority of the West over Russia and China.

One can only hope that Putin is aware that Washington was not joking. It is a financial and strategic game to the last drop of blood for the US and its Western allies, recklessly followed the requirements of Goldman Sachs and build a huge foreign debt. Time out; debt has passed for the level when it can not be paid.Sooner or later it will be canceled in some way.

Not being able to challenge the economic power of China, the United States focused on its two main allies - Iran and Russia to buy time for Wall Street. Although the chosen strategy of aggressive economic action looms on the horizon the risk of military conflict and even the third world. The world is teetering on the brink of war in the name of protecting American banking elites of Wall Street and their profits at the expense of the American population is. However, Washington was doing this before.

Repetition of the Versailles Treaty in relation to Russia?

Yes, this happened before. The good old game, just different participants. I'm afraid we are watching a repetition of the Treaty of Versailles, this time in relation to Russia. If you look closely in the story, not listen prepodnosimye establishment propaganda, it is clear that Western financial elite rarely change their tactics.And why, exactly? Their financial empires grow during major wars and economic crises, and errors taxpayers cover.

Forces such as Goldman Sachs, Rothschild, Soros, control the Western "democracy", the financial markets, using blackmail and bribe the authorities for the growth in popularity among the population they need economic and political measures.
For example, one of the main reasons that forced the Germans to sue for peace in the First World were "14 points" Woodrow Wilson, on 8 January 1918, alleging that US entry into the war was caused by moral imperatives for peace in Europe. In fact, America intervened to prevent the Allies lose or to make it unprofitable contract, which would make it impossible to return the French and British banks debts then the largest US banks, which could lead to bankruptcy.

When the war ended, empty talk about freedom, self-determination and democracy disappeared in the Treaty of Versailles - probably one of the most brutal and dishonest agreements ever imposed on a defeated enemy. The Austro-Hungarian Empire was destroyed and turned into a small size of today's Austria. Germany was deprived of vast territories and crushed excessive debt, comparable to today's US debt. Alas, the Treaty of Versailles infuriated Germans and caused economic chaos in the country, which eventually led to the rise of Hitler and set the stage for World War II.

In what direction will move to Russia?

American puppet media speculated that Putin react invasion of Ukraine. Why Russia Ukraine? Despite the abundance of agricultural resources, is a country bankrupt, where for a long time ruled incompetent leaders. Ukraine has become a pawn in the battle between East and West, making its population had to go through a lot. Russia may enter in Eastern Ukraine for the protection of the Russian-speaking areas and the establishment of land communication with the Crimea. However, the effectiveness of military intervention is very limited; in the best case, this alternative can be called unproductive.

In World War II will be no winners. The consequences of such isolation is too awful to describe them.However, Russia has an ace up his sleeve that can bring victory in the current financial and economic battle.

Firstly, Russia and China should establish a monetary union, backed by gold, oil, and natural resources, as an alternative to debt-ridden democracies, where they drove Wall Street conspiracy central banks and the greed of politicians. It is impossible to maintain long prosperity and high living standards, leaving a legacy to future generations a mountain of debt.

In a desperate race for Washington destroyed all income "tax havens" and the slightest hints of privacy and integrity of the financial world. Russia United States intends to make an outcast, cutting it from trade, movement of interbank funds, Western capital markets. America is not uymёtsya until reset Putin and not force Russia to recognize and support the New World Order.

The best thing about this said Putin himself in his press conference last week:

"They will not leave [the bear] alone, will always seek to put him on a chain. And as soon succeed, and will pull teeth, and claws. In today's understanding of the forces of nuclear deterrence. If this happens, [Bear] has no one will need. Taiga priberut immediately to hand. After all, we have heard from Western officials as unfair that the whole of Siberia belongs to Russia. "

After Russia will come the turn of China. Thus, the monetary union can provide the necessary support to Russia and thus ensure the independence and autonomy of China.

Secondly, in order to win, Russia requires much more than export-dependent economy of resources.Moscow should not defend it, and go on the offensive on the financial front, creating a zone with preferential tax treatment to attract corporations and successful entrepreneurs. The country needs a growing population and a vast middle class, which should be allowed to stay and citizenship perspective specialists.

Competition, free markets, minimal state intervention and low taxes - that is an alternative to the XXI century military action, excessive debt and resource-empires.

Vladimir Putin, the time has come to remove the ace from his sleeve. Russia can win financial and economic war that is going on against it, but not the old games of poker, where the predominant deception.Show the world that Russia is worthy of best management practices of the XXI century. Use the currency and banking weaknesses of the West to defeat the enemy, seeking to enslave Russia. Rest of the world has already capitulated and enslaved.

source

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Ukraine has Antimaydan, and in Russia - it's the GCD

Kharkiv - New Russia
Today at 12:29 pm 30.12.

Ukraine has Antimaydan, and in Russia - it's the GCD. 

After the United States have begun to destroy Ukraine through the so-called "Euromaidan" appeared Resistance Front - Antimaydan. After today's events, it became obvious that in Russia this front is the GCD. Where Kurginyan and Suta-vremennisty? Where the Liberal Democratic Party? Where the communists? Where duginyantsy, gubarevtsy, Novorossiysk? 

Where all ??? Manezhku on, as opposed to zombies US State Department released only GCD.You will not believe, but only 10 people !! 1500 against the herd - only 10 people !!And these 10 people - have made ​​this evening! Girl with a poster on the video - of Nod, see how fiercely her hate the State Department zombies! What is the result of all this:
1. I do not want to offend or ashamed, Russian patriots from other movements. But the obvious - obvious. It patriots of Nod are now ready to actively oppose traitors.So - Patriots remaining movements, take note of this. 

2. Appeal to the GCD-y. Guys, I fully share your views and actions. You - the real heroes! A small group to go against the crowd and a half thousand zombakov. But, at the same time - please, as requested by Putin - do not touch until the Central Bank, while there is a war. Nationalize the Bank clearly needed, but as said Putin - not now. I have received many messages, both with Russia and with Ukraine - where you can join the GCD. 

Here is the official website: http://rusnod.ru there - all


#Novorossia wishes you a Happy New Year.

#Novorossia wishes you a Happy New Year. 

It was a very tough year, both for Russia and for the New Russia, but the Russian never give up. The next year will be our victories. We are sure of this. Being in terms of information and the economic blockade, the people of New Russia need our support to you. We show all our strong support for the position of New Russia. Get up to our ranks informational confrontation. ITS NOT throws !!!



Monday, December 8, 2014

Sketches From The War | life in the besieged city...

Summaries of the militia of New Russia


09.12.14
Written by Paul sketches of war grow (first part):

I want to tell you about one of the aspects of life in the besieged city. It does not matter that the siege is not complete. It is, and it affects everything. Even things that seem to us prosaic. They are transformed, and from the quiet and inoffensive platitudes turn into a tough and uncompromising game with death. A game in which there are no conservation and restart that can not be. On this and will be my story. - And we thought you did not come back. 

The Mole, the new senior in my group, who replaced the injured Shah, shakes my hand. - We are glad to see you again, Shakespeare. - Well I said that I was going home for a maximum of two weeks . - Many people say that. But not all then come back. I know very well about it. Although the word "many" - is, nevertheless, an exaggeration. 

Most returns and that the vast majority. Another thing is that many initially come here for some fixed period of time. Some even on vacation. No, they are not resting. They want to help in any way they can. They fight on par with everyone.They understand that this war for the future of their children. And they want to give it my duty. 

But these children must be fed. And grown men, the last war, can not leave work to fight here all the time. They can do so only thirty days a year. Deceiving the family and, instead of the sea and fishing, come here. We understand this very well.Because, besides the sacred duty to his people, there is the sacred duty of a husband and father. And people who do not want to neglect them, deserve no less respect than those who come here for a long time. There are others. 

Those who come to the Donbass for ticks in the biography. In order to have something to boast later in the company of friends and hear in his address: "Wai, krasauchik!". They wipe them here for a while, get the army ksivu People's Republic of make "heroic photo shoot" with a gun and run for the ribbon. More they are nothing. We were in the unit are, and, most recently: my mother swore that they would return, took documents for humanitarian aid for the unit (largely supplied the Russian charities) and were as follows. The documents have been submitted, the phone is disconnected. Their address is not heard swearing or cursing. No. Just a quiet, silent contempt.
More, they probably did not deserve. And cases completely banal things. People who visited in Hell, suddenly again dipped into a peaceful life and can not return. Just do not find the strength to do so. Well ... Who are we to blame them? This is a strange war. And she had a very strange relationship with the outside world. - Ready to return to duty? - And how. I really missed the machine. This parallel world tightens and charms as the darkness of a moonless night, and many are really starting to miss him in the civilian world.

Especially if this same citizen all rotted through, and you, being there, suddenly shrill understand it. - Well, then welcome, brother. Mole smiling. In contrast to the very young Shah, who took the first machine a few months ago (as most are), Mole - an experienced fighter with forty eyes of a wolf.
Calm, unflappable, even-tempered. Mole is a good man. But if I wanted to meet him on the battlefield. Not far rattled. We froze for a second. Inbox. "Grad". - Close placed. Kilometer, not more. Mole pensively looking out the window. During the time I was in the big Russian and treated zastuzhennye light (standard military diagnosis - illness damp trenches and cold barracks), the garrison of "Varyag", a new base. We moved from the outskirts to the center of Donetsk. In the former administration building, two-story house on one of the central streets. New barracks was convenient, comfortable, warmer, but, in this case, is in the area of work artillery pigs.
Included here went close. Very close. And now it was a very important issue. Two days ago, the battle for the airport broke out with renewed vigor. And this time ukrov defense finally cracked and began to overwhelm. Realizing this, the enemy like mad. In the city began to beat with some desperate, hysterical rage. But we did not stay in debt. Every day, pigs received an adequate response. Volleys "Grad" merged into a long, drawn-hum. Firing from heavy mortars reminded pulёmёtnye queue. Howitzers poured into the general chorus of his loud contralto. 

These sounds are pleasing to the ear. Each of them eloquently testified scum shot city, gets short shrift. - Guys, urgently need two fighters. - Voice Ball brings out of his reverie. - What is the task? - Mole alert. - Oh, nothing special. - Ball red from the cold, and as always bursting with optimism. - Story about living somewhere hit by a high-voltage line. Two areas remained without electricity. 

Now go team of repairmen. Well, that at least find out where it broke. They would provide support. - Why? They're not going to the front. - Well, you never know. All are still not a resort. - Ball chuckled. If you can call it. He laughs softly not howitzers. Mole nods. - Then go and Wonderful Shakespeare. Guys bold, but combat experience they have few - have come recently. For your thing then repairmen. You like Shakespeare? Or are you just going to write articles? - Those guys. I militia. - That's what I see you're up in arms.laugh. 

Suitable Wonderful. My partner - a remarkable character. On the Internet, and not only he is known as "Streamer Vlad." The same 17-year-old lad from Mariupol, who filmed and posted online footage of the massacre, arranged pravosekami in his hometown on the feast day on May 9th. When Bandera bastards from the windows shot people who dared to celebrate Victory Day.

What's in Bandera former "Ukraine" suddenly became a crime for which you can kill with impunity on the street. It was one of those episodes that eventually resulted in war. For this shoot Wonderful managed to get in the dungeons of the SBU. Location and escaped miraculously same: it exchanged. Despite all these tumultuous events, piled on him, out of the blue, Vlad still very kid. It passed something drastic maturation that has befallen all children Donetsk. Children of war. Children horror. After his release he went to Russia, where he returned only recently to join the militia.
Neobstrelyanny young perenёk. That even shave yet not really know how. But who wants to pay back is burning reptiles, zalivshim blood of his city. We were given weapons. AKM and AKS with folding stock, the work of local artisan gifts. 7.62 and 5.45. Unceremoniously take a "seven '. Still young, but I like it. Generally, personal preferences in arms appear here very quickly. I opted for the "enduring classics": 7.62 "paddle", 1972 edition.

In spite of this, the machine shines like new. She and long-term storage warehouses. Not automatic, and the poet's dream. - And this is why? - Vlad indicates compensatory muzzle. Well, for not knowing the person he really looks weird. - I'll explain later. Come on. cram into the back seat of the car. 

Behind the wheel Yegor, the commandant of the Kuibyshev district. They Baloo are somewhat similar to each other, despite the fact that quite different both in appearance and in character. However, the broad thickset figure, huge fists and similarity to host Russian forests gives them a similarity. - Shakespeare.- Yegor slowly leaves the yard barracks. - They are waiting for us near the district executive committee.
Green "tablet". Just will drive them. And, if necessary, will be held. Task - garbage. A maximum of two hours. Conventional utility work, in fact. - Prose life. - Ball laughed again. - Just you be careful. There may be a lot of fun. Egor thoughtful. He - a career military man. Sergeant Airborne, in this war for several months dorosshy to major. Deserved.
According to their works. Serious, sedate, not particularly inclined to joke. - What is expected? - can fly. Pigs may occur. Both are unlikely, otherwise you had not used the two. Ukropov in the sector is long gone, and there is no place to shoot. Is that in the local loony bin. - There's a madhouse? - Yeah.Mental hospital. Therefore, the area is called Thumbsucker bar. This type of humor. - Of course. I like the name. Mood rises. Repairmen arrived a little late. The fact that we accompany them, there is nothing new: a detachment of "Varyag" took a long time under the protection of the besieged city of communication. Otherwise, it is simply impossible. 

Transplanted into UAZ communal. Their team - three weary middle-aged men. One (the one that is younger) at the wheel. Asks us the usual question: - When it's over, guys? Habitually answer: - When the Lions take. - Joke? - The driver smiles.- No. I really do not joke. - Until we burned the nest of infection - they do not uymutsya. - Say too. - The men shivered. - They would drive away from Donetsk. 

That though not fired. - Well, guys, we now exactly this deal. - Indicates a hand at the cannonade. - A Th so loud? - Vlad listens. - Outgoing very close. I also listen. Yes, indeed. - So here near our batteries. And arrived in the morning to beat the dill. - So that's it. Tank line have been? - It is not flew. Well, the day has just begun. I looked at the clock. Half-past ten. Yes, the day is yet to come. Pigs are shot while in other areas.But things can change at any time. - Somehow I do not own. - Wonderful in the back seat was worried. - Yes, calm down. Here all the time like that. It's true. Here, the phrase "all in God's hands" becomes unusually extreme sounds. We drive to the first stop.
The very local mental hospital. I'm out of the car and light a. How beautiful around. Fallen snow at night poured all around the blinding glow of crystal. Around trees like fluffy hills. Under bertsami musical snow crunching. And the air as if alive: he shines and sparkles like the snow. And above all this boundless steppe sky. Clean.Without a single cloud. "Under blue skies magnificent carpets, glistening in the sun, the snow lies. Transparent forest one is black, and spruce through frost green, And the river under the ice glitters "(c).
Yes, Pushkin - indeed our everything. Better than him, no one has described this, cold and hot at the same time, a luxurious beauty of the Russian winter. And it is unlikely someone will succeed better. I looked at the hospital building. The mansion of red brick, enclosed with high walls and surrounded by a beautiful park. Yes, the local crazies live beautifully. Right, pastoral place from which emanates peace and serenity. 

Although it may be the way it is necessary. May be mentally ill people find it easier to recover in such a place? Repairers returned. - Everything is intact. - Said a senior. - Now go to the beam itself. Our boss says that we do not slid off the track. We drive to where it crosses the line and look around.Everything. - A sho it? - The driver is clearly not satisfied. - We're so not see anything!The line at the beam goes. Let's quickly along it'll pass. - There is restless. - Senior skeptical. - On the road we not only lazy srisuet. If, as we get out? - Yes, do not worry.Everything is normal. - A young chauffeur determined. Wonderful We look at each other. Our task is to accompany them, and not to determine the route. But this conversation we like less and less.

Especially since we were both local and this part of the city did not know. What is it? Why not peace? We reached quickly. The track runs at low shaft on both sides of the tree-lined. We seen her really well. We stand a little apart. Smoke. Repairmen still lively debate. The driver something fiercely argues. As a result, senior waving and feeds us a sign. We sit in the car. The driver deals with long levers, switching bridges. - We are where it's going? - My concern is growing. - Yes, everything is normal! - Vague answers and the driver suddenly takes off.

We turned off the road and go fast on country road, windswept snow. The car rides on the bumps.Shock absorbers she obviously did not mersedesovskie. I frantically look. The surrounding landscape with every second like it less and less: it is empty. Like extinct.- Where are we going? I turn to the driver with a clear desire to get him back on track ... And suddenly I saw in front of someone's abandoned positions. 

Boxes from under shells, broken parapets, left the trenches were covered with snow. And the white snow dirty black spots mortar breaks. Stop! Snow fell last night. This is the latest hit. - turn back! Too late. The Abominable howling slashed ears and instantly changed a loud bang. - This is us! - Literally howled senior communalshik. The car skidded leads. We stop. Sitting there frozen. They seemed paralyzed. - Outside! Out of the car, quick!This is my voice? This is me screaming? Yes. Ya My order again includes people like.

They shed their torpor and with incredible agility piled the snow. I jump after him. We dive into the white veil. Again howl. Wonderful automatically pulls the neck up to look at the source of the sound. - Drop !!! He buries his face in the snow. And at this point I see the flash. And I hear the roar. Sharp. Biting. As whiplash. And all this in seven meters away from me. Mina ... vosmidesyatki ... God ... The earth trembled, knocking himself out sparkling eddies barbed snow dust ... The lights went out. The sounds died down. ... The Lord - my shepherd and I will not be in anything ... He need rest to me on the grain-producing pastures and leads His clear waters of His ... He leadeth me in the paths of righteousness for the sake of his own ... And if I go shadow of death, then I Will Fear No Evil ... because God is with me ... How is it then? ... I remember it completely ... Well, it does not matter, Lord ... You know everything and so ... Just do not leave those whom I love. If I leave ... - ... Shekspiiiir Shekspiiiir ... Shekspiiiir ...Wonderful ... Screaming ... I shake my head .... Sounds come back. I do not understand, am I alive? But how? !! ...





Documentary Movie Miguel Francis ' Donetsk thru American Eyes '

Summaries of the militia of New Russia
Documentary Movie Miguel Francis ' Donetsk thru American Eyes '
09/12/14
Life goes on in Donetsk

Documentary Miguel Francis' eyes Donetsk American " The film Miguel Frances, known to Russian audiences to the film "Crimea American eyes," came to Donetsk, to see for all that is happening in the city. Miguel with his film crew visited the destroyed neighborhoods, went to the shelter, mingle with the locals and militias.So is there in the Donbass Russian army? 

Miguel Francis went to Donetsk on a quest to find her but could not. Around were just terrible consequences of the war. Death and destruction. Woe to the locals and at the same time their commitment to the last to defend their land. Weapons picked up even women - with a detachment of one of them and moved the filmmakers. But the peaceful life does not end in spite of the shelling, theater actors go to rehearsals and performances draw full houses ... 

The entire film, according to the author, received the "contrasts". Donetsk bombed skyscrapers coexist with private houses miraculously survived. Birthday celebration takes place in a bomb shelter. Opera Troupe, the scenery is burned as a result of a direct hit by a shell in the warehouse, persists rehearsing "La Traviata." Veselin girl with the call "Bob" is headed by a mobile group of volunteers, closing the sake of their own business. 

Miguel Francis said that what he saw in Donetsk can not remain indifferent. Many neighborhoods destroyed by shelling people sometimes find themselves locked in their own homes. In spite of everything, donchane try to live "as usual": ride on the trolley even in dangerous areas, daily clean streets, go to the theater and to recognize that wants only one thing - that their friends were able to see the day when there will be peace.


Ukrainian Artillery Doesn't Stop | Attacks, all Day & Night Residents Flee "Peony" Shelling

War on the southern flank of the DNI: Telmanovo fire, residents flee to Novoazovsk

12/09/2014 - 0:51



Voenkory "Russian Spring" report that these days Telmanovo district center has become one of the most deprived settlements DNR. Ukrainian artillery does not stop its attacks, day or night.Only in recent years as a result of enemy fire repeatedly damaged gas distribution station and electrical substation.

Most of the time telmanovtsy are without heat and light. The classes stopped. Working in a hospital is extremely difficult. Residents fleeing the shelling and unbearable living conditions, running in a more quiet Novoazovsk.

Today Starobeshevo too was struck artillery strike. Because of fears of further attacks classes in schools were stopped.

In the area Volnovakha punishers fired powerful ACS "Peony". According to local residents povyletali windows in nearby localities within a radius of half a kilometer.

Continuous artillery fire could be heard in Shahtersk and Torez. Artillery duel continues northeast of Mariupol.

Full truce is possible only in the case of removal of Ukrainian artillery 30 kilometers. But, apparently, no one is going to do.

The truth about the situation in Zaporizhzhya


Stalker 3.0: The truth about the situation in Zaporizhzhya


Hiding from the international community the hard-hitting facts themselves has already become a kind of calling card Ukrainian government. Examples of this so that probably will be typed on a separate post. Why are only perennial and futile attempts to Ukrainian political elite to convince the EU to timely payment of debt on Russian gas? Or unwillingness to recognize the official Kiev blame for the downed Russian Tu-154 over the Black Sea? About fighting foreign gopak government Yatsenyuk can never say: here and Magically air conditioning in Lugansk, and Magically people in Odessa re-appear and Magically women in Donbas have back their loved ones...

Today, this "gentleman" is nothing but a set of lies, tricks and juggling with added attempts to hide the disaster at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant. Let me remind you that this story began with the fact that in Odessa they suddenly lost electricity. The official version of this happened on November 28 as a result of emergency shutdown of one of the blocks of Zaporizhzhya . However, local people write that problems with electricity in Odessa began three days earlier - the 25th day.





After analyzing the message inhabitants of Zaporozhye region,

Alternative Media and the #MH17 JIT Reversal

Alternative Media and the #MH17 JIT Reversal

Country: Malaysia


After weeks of protests and growing suspicion, Dutch authorities overseeing the investigation of Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 have finally included Malaysia as a member of its Joint Investigation Team (JIT).

Malaysia had made it clear it was immensely displeased with its inexplicable exclusion from JIT formed after the downing of MH17 over eastern Ukraine. Including NATO members (Belgium and the Netherlands), a defacto NATO collaborator (Australia) and a potential culprit in the air disaster (Ukraine), Malaysia’s exclusion looked to be a part of an ongoing cover-up amid a larger attempt to use the disaster to frame Russia and advance NATO’s agenda in Eastern Europe.

The conflict amid which MH17 was shot down is perceived to be a proxy conflict between NATO and Russia. That the investigation includes exclusively pro-NATO members or NATO members themselves, both the conduct of the investigation and any conceivable outcome would be highly suspect. Malaysia, the only nation directly effected by the disaster and perceived of being beyond the direct influence of NATO, would have provided a much needed counterbalance.

Now that it has become a member of JIT, analysts must vigilantly watch to ensure it is allowed full access to evidence and equal participatory standings. While Malaysia’s inclusion provides hope that JIT will now be unable to pursue a political agenda with impunity, the possibility is high that NATO will simply cite Malaysia’s inclusion in JIT to legitimize its actions, no matter how biased the conduct of JIT’s investigation may be or how skewed its outcome, even if Malaysia raises protests over both,

Alternative Media’s Role in JIT Reversal

The diminishing primacy of the West’s powerful global media monopoly may be partially why Malaysia was finally included in JIT. Had there been no alternatives to this monopoly, including networks rising up in developing nations and among BRICS, as well as the more decentralized alternative media of “citizen journalists,” Malaysia’s protests simply would have been tuned out and other issues put forward to cover up the glaringly compromised nature of JIT’s original members and their methodology.

It was also revealed that JIT had arranged agreements among members to bar the release of certain information when deemed necessary. With Malaysia excluded from JIT, any number of relevant or incriminating pieces of evidence could have already been purged from the investigation while other pieces of evidence fabricated to take their place. The alternative media played a crucial role in bringing this suspicious arrangement to the public’s attention.

In all, large and growing outrage over what was clearly a politically motivated investigation was given a platform by the alternative media to reach a wider general public. Unable to ignore obvious misconduct in the investigation and a glaring lack of objectivity and impartiality because of this fact, may have forced NATO to include Malaysia despite the obvious restraints it would put on its attempt to whitewash the investigation.

What Malaysia Must Do Now

Malaysia must ask the questions and demand the evidence required to determine whether or not evidence was destroyed or switched during its absence in JIT, then ensure an impartial, objective investigation is pursued to determine the cause of MH17’s fateful crash and who was responsible. It must ensure it is included in all matters of the investigation and that pro-NATO members are unable to pursue avenues unilaterally without Malaysia’s knowledge and input.

If the alternative media did indeed play a role in helping Malaysia obtain a position within JIT, the truest test will be for the same media platform to now ensure NATO does not simply use Malaysia’s inclusion in JIT to force through foregone, biased and deceitful conclusions. The alternative media must help Malaysia bring any grievances it may have with JIT’s other members and their methods during the investigation to the forefront of public attention.

Inconsistencies and findings Malaysia may publish that run contradictory to NATO’s conclusions and innuendos must also be brought to the public’s attention via the alternative media, considering much of MH17’s investigation has either been spun or covered up entirely by the West’s media monopolies.

What the Drawn Out, Suspicious Investigation Already Tells Us

Had NATO truly been sure of Russia’s culpability in MH17’s downing, carrying out a quick, transparent, and inclusive investigation none could question would have been at the forefront of NATO’s agenda. Instead, a shadowy investigation carried out by a stacked Joint Investigation Team, excluding a nation effected directly by the disaster for no apparent reason besides its residing beyond NATO’s direct sphere of influence reeks of a cover up or at best, an attempt to spin an uncertain chain of events into a politically and strategically favorable outcome.

For JIT’s original members not to have vocally protested this suspicious behavior and multiple conflicts of interest, illustrate that much of JIT’s work regardless of Malaysia’s inclusion in the process lacks the legitimacy of a truly objective and impartial process.

That NATO cannot conduct the investigation in a transparent manner and has resorted to multiple attempts to imply Russian culpability before presenting concrete evidence suggests there is either no evidence to implicate Russia at this time, or there exists evidence that directly contradict NATO’s claims.

Regardless, it will be up to the alternative media to provide the necessary checks and balances the Western media should, but won’t provide itself. Independent analysts must continue examining the ongoing investigation and reporting inconsistencies in both methods and outcomes. By stopping NATO from exploiting tragedy to advance its own agenda amid the MH17 case, future disasters may see a speedy, objective investigation and perhaps, may not occur at all.

Ulson Gunnar, a New York-based geopolitical analyst and writer especially for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook”.

HR 758 - A Historic Law Allowing WWIII with Russia & A Total News Blackout... WTF?


HR 758 - A Historic Law Allowing WWIII with Russia & A Total News Blackout... WTF?

Prof. Michel Chossudovsky
Global Research
Sun, 07 Dec 2014 1


© Unknown

America is on a war footing. While, a World War Three Scenario has been on the drawing board of the Pentagon for more than ten years, military action against Russia is now contemplated at an "operational level". Similarly, both the Senate and the House have introduced enabling legislation which provides legitimacy to the conduct of a war against Russia.

We are not dealing with a "Cold War". None of the safeguards of the Cold War era prevail.

There has been a breakdown in East-West diplomacy coupled with extensive war propaganda. In turn the United Nations has turned a blind eye to extensive war crimes committed by the Western military alliance.

The adoption of a major piece of legislation by the US House of Representatives on December4th (H. Res. 758) would provide (pending a vote in the Senate) a de facto green light to the US president and commander in chief to initiate - without congressional approval - a process of military confrontation with Russia.

Global security is at stake. This historic vote - which potentially could affect the lives of hundreds of millions of people Worldwide - has received virtually no media coverage. A total media blackout prevails.
The World is at a dangerous crossroads. Moscow has responded to US-NATO threats. Its borders are threatened.

On December 3, the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation announced the inauguration of a new military-political entity which would take over in the case of war.

Russia is launching a new national defense facility, which is meant to monitor threats to national security in peacetime, but would take control of the entire country in case of war. (RT, December 3, 2014)Timeline of War Preparations

In May 2014, the Russian Aggression Prevention Act (RAPA) was introduced in the US Senate (S 2277), calling for the militarization of Eastern Europe and the Baltic States and the stationing of US and NATO troops on Russia's doorstep:

S.2277 - Russian Aggression Prevention Act of 2014

Directs the President to: (1) implement a plan for increasing U.S. and NATO support for the armed forces of Poland, Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia, and other NATO member-states; and (2) direct the U.S. Permanent Representative to NATO to seek consideration for permanently basing NATO forces in such countries.

Directs the President to submit a plan to Congress for accelerating NATO and European missile defense efforts.

While The S 2277 resolution was sent to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee for review, its essential premises are already in the process of being implemented. In mid-July, NATO's Europe commander General Philip Breedlove in consultation with the Pentagon and Britain's Ministry of Defence, called for:
"stockpiling a base in Poland with enough weapons, ammunition and other supplies to support a rapid deployment of thousands of troops against Russia".(RT, July 24, 2014).According to General Breedlove, NATO needs "pre-positioned supplies, pre-positioned capabilities and a basing area ready to rapidly accept follow-on forces":

"He plans to recommend placing supplies - weapons, ammunition and ration packs - at the headquarters to enable a sudden influx of thousands of Nato troops"(Times, August 22, 2014, emphasis added)Breedlove's "Blitzkrieg scenario" - which could potentially lead to military escalation - was reaffirmed at the September NATO Summit in Wales. A so-called NATO action plan directed against the Russian Federation was decided upon. The Wales Summit had given the "green light".

Barely a month later, in October, US-NATO military drills were held in the Baltic States. In early November, a second round of drills was held in both the Baltic States and Eastern Europe.

As part of this broader endeavour, NATO's Iron Sword 2014 military exercises - involving the participation of nine member countries of the Atlantic Alliance - were launched in Lithuania in early November:

"US tanks rolled in to Lithuania earlier this month is a show of force to Russia that it's not welcome in the region."The military exercises were explicitly directed against Russia. According to Moscow, they consisted in "increasing operation readiness" as well the transfer of NATO "military infrastructure to the Russian borders".

In response to NATO deployments on Russia's borders, the Russian Federation also conducted in early November extensive war games in the sea of Barent. The Russian drills consisted in testing "its entire nuclear triad consisting of strategic bombers; submarines" and the "silo-based Topol-M intercontinental ballistic missile launched from Plesetsk in Arkhangelsk Oblast" on November 1st.

The US House of Representatives H.Res. 758 Resolution

On 18 November, a major resolution H. Res. 758 was introduced in the House of Representatives. Its main thrust consists in portraying Russia as an "Aggressor Nation", which has invaded Ukraine and calling for military action directed against Russia:



H.RES.758 - Whereas upon entering office in 2009, President Barack Obama announced his intention to 'reset' relations with the Russian Federation, which was described by former United States Ambassador... (Introduced in House - IH)

HRES 758 IH

113th CONGRESS

2d Session

H. RES. 758

Strongly condemning the actions of the Russian Federation, under President Vladimir Putin, which has carried out a policy of aggression against neighboring countries aimed at political and economic domination.

(The full text of H. RES. 758 is contained in annex to this article)

H. Res. 758 not only accuses Russia of having invaded Ukraine, it also invokesarticle 5 of the Washington Treaty, namely NATO's doctrine of collective security.

An attack on one member of the Atlantic alliance is an attack on all members of the Alliance.

© Unknown

The underlying narrative is supported by a string of baseless accusations directed against the Russian Federation. It accuses Russia of having invaded Ukraine. It states without evidence that Russia was behind the downing of Malaysian Airlines MH17, it accuses Russia of military aggression.

Ironically, it also accuses the Russian Federation of having imposed economic sanctions not only on Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova but also on several unnamed member states of the European Union. The resolution accuses the Russian Federation of having used "the supply of energy for political and economic coercion."

In essence, House Resolution 758 were it to become law would provide a de facto green lightto the President of the United States to declare war on the Russian Federation, without the formal permission of the US Congress.

In this regard, it could be interpreted as "mildly unconstitutional" in that it contravenes the substance of Article 1, Section 8, of the US Constitution which vests in the Congress "the Power to declare war..."

The resolution urges the President of the United States in consultation with the US Congress to:

"conduct a review of the force posture, readiness, and responsibilities of the United States Armed Forces and the forces of other members of NATO to determine if the contributions and actions of each is sufficient to meet the obligations of collective self defence under article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty and to specify the measures needed to remedy any deficiencies" .What the above paragraph suggests is that the US is contemplating the use of NATO's collective security doctrine under article 5 with a views to triggering a process of military confrontation with the Russian Federation.

The structure of military alliances is of crucial significance. Washington's intent is to isolate Russia. Article 5 is a convenient mechanism imposed by the US on Western Europe. It forces NATO member states, most of which are members of the European Union, to act wage war on Washington's behalf.

Moreover, a referendum on Ukraine's membership in NATO is contemplated. In case Ukraine becomes a member of NATO and/or redefines its security agreement with NATO, article 5 could be invoked as a justification to wage a NATO sponsored war on Russia.

"Fast Legislation" 


The speed at which this legislation was adopted is unusual in US Congressional history. House resolution 758 was introduced on November 18th, it was rushed off to the Foreign Affairs Committee and rushed back to the plenary of the House for debate and adoption.

Two weeks (16 days) after it was first introduced by Rep. Kinzinger (Illinois) on November 18, it was adopted by 411-10 in an almost unanimous vote on the morning of December 4th.

Members of Congress are puppets. Their vote is controlled by Washington's lobby groups. For the defence contractors, Wall Street and the Texas oil giants, "war is good for business".

In the words of Dennis Kucinich in an open letter published on December 2:

The resolution demands Russia to be isolated ... In other words, 'let's get ready for war with Russia.'

This is exactly the type of sabre rattling which led to the initiation and escalation of the Cold War. It is time we demanded that the US employ diplomacy, not more military expenditures, in the quest for international order.Media Blackout

One would expect that this historic decision would has been the object of extensive news coverage.

In fact what happened was a total news blackout.

The nation's media failed to provide coverage of the debate in House of Representatives and the adoption of H Res 758 on December 4.

The mainstream media had been instructed not to cover the Congressional decision.

Nobody dared to raise its dramatic implications. its impacts on "global security". "World War III is not front page news." 


And without mainstream news concerning US-NATO war preparations, the broader public remains unaware of the importance of the Congressional decision. .

In Annex to this article is the google news feed for H. Rep. 758 (7pm ET prior to the publication of this article). We suggest that readers check the news feed on online search engines as well as print media.

Spread the word. Reverse the tide of war.

Break the mainstream media blackout.

Comment: For a greater perspective of this insane and ongoing war against Russia, check out:

SOTT EXCLUSIVE Terror in Chechnya - economic subterfuge and Saudi Prince Bandar's not so covert war against Russia and Syria

US House Resolution 758 - 16 pages of war propaganda that should have made even neocons blush

The rise of German imperialism and the phony Russian Threat